Key Figures at a Glance (Democratic Republic of the Congo)
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Summary
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Event description
° The Bundibugyo virus disease outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo intensified during the past week, with epidemiological indicators suggesting sustained and increasing transmission.
° The outbreak was characterized by a rising incidence of reported cases, increasing mortality and continued geographic expansion into additional provinces and health zones, indicating ongoing propagation across affected areas.
° Outside the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the epidemiological situation remained unchanged, with no new cases reported in Uganda or France and no evidence of secondary transmission.
° Nevertheless, continued geographic expansion and increasing transmission intensity within the Democratic Republic of the Congo elevate the likelihood of cross-border spread and reinforce the need for sustained regional surveillance, preparedness and response measures.
Democratic Republic of the Congo
° Since the last update of 5 July 2026 (Situation Report #8), the epidemiological situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has further deteriorated with sustained transmission and continued geographic expansion.
° An additional 339 confirmed cases and 198 confirmed deaths have been reported, representing increases of 20.9% and 38.0% in cumulative confirmed cases and deaths, respectively.
° The crude case fatality ratio (CFR) among confirmed cases increased from 32.1% to 36.6%, likely reflecting delayed case detection, late presentation for care, and the persistently high proportion of deaths occurring in the community, rather than increased disease severity.
° Geographic spread also continued during the reporting period, with the outbreak expanding from three to five affected provinces following the confirmation of cases in Haut-Uélé and Tshopo provinces.
° The number of affected health zones increased from 36 to 42, with Wamba (Haut-Uélé Province), Ariwara and Boga (Ituri Province), and Lubunga, Makiso-Kisangani, and Mangobo (Tshopo Province) reporting their first confirmed cases.
° Daily reported confirmed cases have continued to increase over the course of the outbreak, although substantial day-to-day variability is observed.
° A log-linear model fitted to the daily incidence data estimates an average daily growth rate of 2.3% (95% CI 2.0% - 2.5%), indicating that the outbreak continues to expand and transmission remains above the threshold required for sustained epidemic expansion.
Figure 1. Epidemic curve showing daily confirmed case incidence and estimated epidemic growth, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 11 May–12 July 2026














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