Showing posts with label avian influenza. Show all posts
Showing posts with label avian influenza. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

#Influenza at #human - #animal #interface - #Summary & #risk assessment, 8 Aug. - 6 Sept. '26 (WHO): 1 #H5N1 case in #Bangladesh, 3 #H9N2 cases in #China, 2 #H1N2v cases in #US

 


Influenza at the human-animal interface Summary and risk assessment, from 8 August to 6 September 2026 {1}


    New human cases {2}

        ° From 8 August to 6 September 2026, based on reporting date,  detections of influenza A(H5N1) in one human and influenza A(H9N2) in  three humans were officially reported. Additionally, two human cases of infection with influenza A(H1N2) variant (A(H1N2)v) viruses were detected.

    Circulation of influenza viruses with zoonotic potential in animals

        ° High pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) events in poultry and  non-poultry animal species continue to be reported to the World Organisation for  Animal Health (WOAH).{3} The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United  Nations (FAO) also provides a global update on avian influenza viruses with  pandemic potential.{4} Additionally, low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses as  well as swine influenza viruses continue to circulate in animal populations.

    Risk assessment {5}

        ° There have been no reports of sustained human-to-human transmission associated with the above-mentioned human infection events.  Based on information available at the time of this update, the overall public health  risk from currently known influenza A viruses detected at the  human-animal interface has not changed and, at present, these viruses are  not thought to be capable of sustained human-to-human transmission, although  this could change as they evolve. Whilst human infections with viruses of animal  origin are infrequent, they are not unexpected at the human-animal interface.

    IHR compliance {6}

        ° This includes any influenza A virus that has demonstrated the  capacity to infect a human, and its haemagglutinin (HA) gene (or protein) is not a  mutated form of those, i.e. A(H1) or A(H3), circulating widely in the human  population. Information from these notifications is critical to inform risk  assessments for influenza at the human-animal interface.


Avian influenza viruses in humans

A(H5N1), Bangladesh

    On 30 August, Bangladesh, through the national IHR focal point, notified WHO of one laboratory-confirmed human infection with an A(H5) virus in a  child from Rangpur division

    On 15 August 2026the child developed a fever, cough and rhinitis and was  admitted to hospital on 17 August. 

    On 18 August, a nasopharyngeal swab and throat swab was collected as  part of hospital-based influenza surveillance and tested positive for influenza A(H5) by real-time RT-PCR at the icddr,b laboratory on the same day. 

    The sample was subsequently confirmed positive for influenza A(H5N1)  at the Molecular and Genomic Laboratory Department of Institute of Epidemiology,  Disease Control and Research (IEDCR) and National Influenza  Centre (NIC) of Bangladesh. 

    Genetic sequencing is underway

    The child remained hospitalized and was improving clinically at the time  of reporting.

    There was no reported history of travel outside the area of residence. The  child had a history of exposure to duck and chickens, including some that  were sick, in the household and adjacent households. 

    Poultry meat and oropharyngeal swab specimens collected from several  backyard chickens on 26 August tested negative for influenza A(H5).

    Close contacts were identified and placed under monitoring and all  contacts remained asymptomatic during the observation period, except for two heath care workers

    Respiratory specimens collected from these two individuals tested negative for influenza A viruses.

    This is the 4th laboratory-confirmed human case of avian influenza A(H5)  reported in Bangladesh in 2026.

    According to reports received by WOAH, various influenza A(H5) subtypes  continue to be detected in wild and domestic birds in Africa, the Americas, Asia,  Europe and Oceania. Infections in non-human mammals are also reported,  including in marine and land mammals.{7} A list of bird and mammalian species  affected by HPAI A(H5) viruses is maintained by FAO.{8}


Risk assessment for avian influenza A(H5N1) viruses:

    1. What is the current global public health risk of additional human cases of  infection with avian influenza A(H5N1) viruses?

        ° Most human infections so far have been reported in people exposed  to A(H5N1) viruses, for example, through contact with infected poultry or  contaminated environments, including live poultry markets, and occasionally  infected mammals and contaminated environments. As long as the viruses  continue to be detected in animals and related environments humans are exposed  to, further human cases associated with such exposures are expected  but remain unusual. The impact for public health if additional sporadic cases are detected is minimal. The current overall global public health risk is low.

    2. What is the likelihood of sustained human-to-human transmission of avian  influenza A(H5N1) viruses related to the events above?

        ° No sustained human-to-human transmission has been identified  associated with the recent reported human infections with avian  influenza A(H5N1) viruses. There has been no reported human-to-human transmission of A(H5N1) viruses since 2007, although there may be gaps in  investigations. In 2007 and the years prior, small clusters of A(H5N1) virus  infections in humans were reported, including some involving health care workers,  where limited human-to-human transmission could not be excluded;  however, sustained human-to-human transmission was not reported.  Current evidence suggests that influenza A(H5N1) viruses related to these events did not acquire the ability to efficiently transmit between people.

      3. What is the likelihood of international spread of avian influenza A(H5N1) viruses by travellers?

        ° Should infected individuals from affected areas travel internationally, their infection may be detected in another country during travel  or after arrival. If this were to occur, further community- level spread is  considered unlikely as current evidence suggests these viruses have  not acquired the ability to transmit easily among humans.  


A(H9N2), China

    Between 13 August and 1 September 2026, China notified WHO of three laboratory-confirmed human cases of A(H9N2) virus infection. 

(...)

    All cases had direct or indirect exposure to poultry and/or local live bird  markets. Samples from environments associated with the likely area of exposure  of some of the cases tested positive for A(H9) viruses. 

    No further cases were detected among contacts of these cases.


Risk assessment for avian influenza A(H9N2):

    1. What is the global public health risk of additional human cases of infection  with avian influenza A(H9N2) viruses?

        ° Most human cases follow exposure to the A(H9N2) virus through  contact with infected poultry or contaminated environments. Most human  infections of A(H9N2) to date have resulted in mild clinical illness. Since the  virus is endemic in poultry in multiple countries in Africa and Asia, additional human cases associated with exposure to infected poultry or  contaminated environments are expected but remain unusual. The impact to  public health if additional sporadic cases are detected is minimal. The  overall global public health risk is low.

    2. What is the likelihood of sustained human-to-human transmission of avian  influenza A(H9N2) viruses related to these events?

        ° At the present time, no sustained human-to-human transmission  has been identified associated with the recently reported human  infections with A(H9N2) viruses. Current evidence suggests that A(H9N2) viruses  from these cases did not acquire the ability of sustained transmission among humans.

    3. What is the likelihood of international spread of avian influenza A(H9N2)  virus by travellers?

        ° Should infected individuals from affected areas travel internationally, their infection may be detected in another country during travel  or after arrival. If this were to occur, further community level spread is considered  unlikely as current evidence suggests the A(H9N2) virus subtype has not acquired the ability to transmit easily among humans.


Swine influenza viruses in humans

Influenza A(H1N2)v, United States of America

    Since the risk assessment of 8 August 2026, two human infections with influenza A(H1N2v) viruses were detected in the state of Michigan.{7} 

    The patients, both <18 years of age, developed illness in the week of 15  August. They were not hospitalized and have recovered. Both attended the same agricultural fair where sick swine were present. The cases did not have  contact with each other and  no additional human infections with A(H1N2)v  viruses have been detected around this event. 

    Including these two cases, there have been a total of three human  infections with variant influenza A viruses reported in the United States in 2026.


Risk Assessment:

    1. What is the public health risk of additional human cases of infection with  swine influenza viruses?

        ° Swine influenza viruses circulate in swine populations in many  regions of the world. Depending on geographic location, the genetic characteristics  of these viruses differ. Most human cases are exposed to swine  influenza viruses through contact with infected animals or contaminated environments. Human infection tends to result in mild clinical illness  in most cases. Since these viruses continue to be detected in swine  populations, further human cases are expected but remain unusual. The impact  for public health if additional cases are detected is minimal. The overall risk of additional human cases is low.

    2. What is the likelihood of sustained human-to-human transmission of swine influenza viruses? 

        ° No sustained human-to-human transmission was identified  associated with the event described above. Current evidence suggests  that contemporary swine influenza viruses have not acquired the ability  of sustained transmission among humans, therefore sustained human-to-human  transmission is thus currently considered unlikely.

    3. What is the likelihood of international spread of swine influenza viruses by travelers? 

        ° Should infected individuals from affected areas travel internationally, their infection may be detected in another country during travel  or after arrival. If this were to occur, further community level spread is considered  unlikely as current evidence suggest that these viruses have not acquired the ability to transmit easily among humans.


Overall risk management recommendations:

Surveillance and investigations

    Due to the constantly evolving nature of influenza viruses, WHO  continues to stress the importance of global strategic surveillance in animals and  humans to detect virologic, epidemiologic and clinical changes associated with  circulating influenza viruses that may affect human (or animal) health. Continued  vigilance is needed within affected and neighbouring areas to detect infections in  animals and humans. Close collaboration with the animal health and environment  sectors is essential to understand the extent of the risk of human exposure and to prevent and control the spread of animal influenza. WHO has published  guidance on surveillance for human infections with avian influenza A(H5) viruses.

    Epidemiologic and virologic surveillance and the follow-up of suspected  human cases should continue systematically. Guidance on investigation of non- seasonal influenza and other emerging acute respiratory diseases has been  published on the WHO website.

    Countries should increase avian influenza surveillance in domestic  and wild birds, enhance surveillance for early detection in cattle  populations in countries where HPAI is known to be circulating, include HPAI as a  differential diagnosis in non-avian species, including cattle and other livestock  populations, with high risk of exposure to HPAI viruses; monitor and investigate cases in non-avian species, including livestock, report cases of HPAI in  all animal species, including unusual hosts, to WOAH and other international  organizations, share genetic sequences of avian influenza viruses in publicly  available databases, implement preventive and early response measures to break  the HPAI transmission cycle among animals through movement restrictions of  infected livestock holdings and strict biosecurity measures in all holdings, employ  good production and hygiene practices when handing animal products, and protect  persons in contact with suspected/infected animals.{8} More  guidance can be found from WOAH and FAO.

    When there has been human exposure to a known outbreak of an  influenza A virus in domestic poultry, wild birds or other animals – or when there  has been an identified human case of infection with such a virus – enhanced  surveillance in potentially exposed human populations becomes necessary.  Enhanced surveillance should consider the health care seeking behaviour of the  population, and could include a range of active and passive health care and/or  communitybased approaches, including: enhanced surveillance in local influenza- like illness (ILI)/SARI systems, active screening in hospitals and of groups that  may be at higher occupational risk of exposure, and inclusion of other sources  such as traditional healers, private practitioners and private diagnostic laboratories.

    Vigilance for the emergence of novel influenza viruses with pandemic  potential must be maintained at all times, including during a non-influenza  emergency. To maximize the value of influenza surveillance platform for other  respiratory threats, WHO has updated and published practical guidance for integrated surveillance.


Notifying WHO

    All human infections caused by a new subtype of influenza virus are  notifiable under the International Health Regulations (IHR, 2005).{9,10} State  Parties to the IHR (2005) are required to immediately notify WHO of any  laboratory-confirmed {11} case of a recent human infection caused by an influenza A virus with the potential to cause a pandemic {12}. Evidence of illness  is not required for this report. Evidence of illness is not required for this report.

    WHO published the case definition for human infections with avian  influenza A(H5) virus requiring notification under IHR (2005):  https://www.who.int/teams/global-influenzaprogramme/avian-influenza/case-definitions.


Virus sharing and risk assessment

    It is critical that these influenza viruses from animals or from humans are  fully characterized in appropriate animal or human health influenza reference  laboratories. Under WHO’s Pandemic Influenza Preparedness (PIP) Framework,  Member States are expected to share influenza viruses with pandemic potential on a timely basis {13} with a WHO Collaborating Centre for influenza of GISRS. The  viruses are used by the public health laboratories to assess the risk of pandemic influenza and to develop candidate vaccine viruses.

    The Tool for Influenza Pandemic Risk Assessment (TIPRA) provides an  in-depth assessment of risk associated with some zoonotic influenza viruses –  notably the likelihood of the virus gaining human-to-human transmissibility, and  the impact should the virus gain such transmissibility. TIPRA maps relative risk  amongst viruses assessed using multiple risk elements. The results of  TIPRA  complement those of the risk assessment provided here, and those of prior TIPRA  risk assessments are published at http://www.who.int/teams/global-influenza-programme/avianinfluenza/tool-for-influenza-pandemic-risk-assessment-(tipra).


Risk reduction

    Given the observed extent and frequency of avian influenza in poultry, wild birds and some wild and domestic mammals, the public should  avoid contact with animals that are sick or dead from unknown causes, including  wild animals, and should report dead birds and mammals or request their removal by contacting local wildlife or veterinary authorities.

    Eggs, poultry meat and other poultry food products should be properly  cooked and properly handled during food preparation. Due to the potential health  risks to consumers, raw milk should be avoided. WHO advises consuming  pasteurized milk. If pasteurized milk isn’t available, heating raw milk until it boils makes it safer for consumption.

    WHO has published practical interim guidance to reduce the risk of  infection in people exposed to avian influenza viruses.


Trade and travellers

    WHO advises that travellers to countries with known outbreaks of  animal influenza should avoid farms, contact with animals in live animal markets,  entering areas where animals may be slaughtered, or contact with any surfaces  that appear to be contaminated with animal excreta. Travelers should also wash  their hands often with soap and water. All individuals should follow good food safety and hygiene practices.

    WHO does not advise special traveller screening at points of entry or  restrictions with regards to the current situation of influenza viruses at the  human-animal interface. For recommendations on safe trade in animals and  related products from countries affected by these influenza viruses, refer to WOAH guidance.


Links:

    ° WHO Human-Animal Interface web page https://www.who.int/teams/global-influenza-programme/avian-influenza

    ° WHO Influenza (Avian and other zoonotic) fact sheet https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/influenza-(avian-and-other-zoonotic)

    ° WHO Protocol to investigate non-seasonal influenza and other emerging acute respiratory diseases https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-WHE-IHM-GIP-2018.2

    ° WHO Public health resource pack for countries experiencing outbreaks of  influenza in animals: https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240076884

    ° Cumulative Number of Confirmed Human Cases of Avian Influenza A(H5N1) Reported to WHO https://www.who.int/teams/global-influenza-programme/avian-influenza/avian-a-h5n1-virus

    ° Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Information https://www.who.int/teams/global-influenza-programme/avian-influenza/avian-influenza-a-(h7n9)-virus

    ° World Organisation of Animal Health (WOAH) web page: Avian Influenza https://www.woah.org/en/home/

    ° Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) webpage:  Avian Influenza https://www.fao.org/animal-health/avian-flu-qa/en/

    ° WOAH/FAO Network of Expertise on Animal Influenza (OFFLU) http://www.offlu.org/

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{1} This summary and assessment covers information confirmed during this  period and may include information received outside of this period.

{2} For epidemiological and virological features of human infections with animal  influenza viruses not reported in this assessment, see the reports on human cases  of influenza at the human-animal interface published in the Weekly Epidemiological Record here.

{3} Avian influenza. Global situation. World Organisation for Animal Health  (WOAH) (https://www.woah.org/en/disease/avian-influenza/#ui-id-2).

{4} Global Avian Influenza Viruses with Zoonotic Potential situation update. Food  and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)  (https://www.fao.org/animal-health/situation-updates/global-aiv-with-zoonoticpotential).

{5} Rapid risk assessment of acute public health events. World Health  Organization; 2012 (https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/70810).

{6} Case definitions for the four diseases requiring notification in all  circumstances under the International Health Regulations (2005). World Health Organization; 2009 (https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/casedefinitions-for-the-four-diseases-requiring-notification-to-who-in-all-circumstances-under-the-ihr-(2005)).

{7} Weekly US Influenza Surveillance Report: Key Updates for Week 32, ending  August 15, 2026. US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 2026  (https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/surveillance/2026-week-32.html).

{8} World Organisation for Animal Health. Statement on High Pathogenicity Avian  Influenza in Cattle, 6 December 2024 (https://www.woah.org/en/high-pathogenicity-avian-influenza-hpai-in-cattle/).

{9} World Health Organization. International Health Regulations (2005), as  amended through resolutions WHA67.13 (2014), WHA75.12 (2022), and  WHA77.17 (2024) (https://apps.who.int/gb/bd/pdf_files/IHR_2014-2022-2024-en.pdf).

{10} World Health Organization. Case definitions for the four diseases requiring  notification in all circumstances under the International Health Regulations (2005)  (https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/casedefinitions-for-the-four-diseases-requiring-notification-to-who-in-all-circumstances-under-the-ihr-(2005)).

{11} World Health Organization. Manual for the laboratory diagnosis and  virological surveillance of influenza (2011) (https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/44518).

{12} World Health Organization. Pandemic influenza preparedness framework for  the sharing of influenza viruses and access to vaccines and other benefits, 2nd  edition (https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/341850).

{13} World Health Organization. Operational guidance on sharing influenza  viruses with human pandemic potential (IVPP) under the Pandemic Influenza  Preparedness (PIP) Framework (2017) (https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/259402).


Source: 


Link: https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/influenza-at-the-human-animal-interface-summary-and-assessment--6-september-2026

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#Australia, #H5 avian #influenza events in #wildlife {daily update} (DAFF, September 16 '26)

 


{Excerpts}

(...)

Event data

       ° 551 Positive events

     ° 45,115 Hotline reports


    As of 4pm AEST, 15 September 2026, Australia has 551 confirmed events of H5 bird flu in wildlife.

    § 10 in Western Australia (WA)

    § 299 in South Australia (SA)

    § 32 in New South Wales (NSW)

    § 2 in Queensland (QLD)

    § 169 in Victoria (VIC)

    § 38 in Tasmania (TAS)

    § 1 in Other Territories*

{*} Jervis Bay Territory (Commonwealth jurisdiction)


    As H5 bird flu is confirmed in more locations and species in Australia it will not be necessary to continue testing all species in known areas of transmission, or to test every animal involved in an investigation. 

    Reporting will be targeted to provide a clear picture of the national H5 bird flu situation in wildlife in Australia and key developments.


Data disclaimer

    Data reflects information provided by state and territory governments to the Australian Government as at 17:00 AEST daily. The Australian Government publishes this information for national reporting purposes. Responsibility for the accuracy, completeness and currency of the data remains with the relevant state or territory government. Due to differences in reporting timing, information on the national dashboard may differ from information published on state or territory government websites.

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{Click on Image to Enlarge}

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(...)

Source: 


Link: https://www.agriculture.gov.au/campaigns/birdflu/latest-data#h1_bird_flu

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Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Avian #Influenza #Report: September 6 - 12 '26 (Wk 37) (HK CHP, Sept. 15 '26): 1 new confirmed #human case of #infection with #H9N2 virus in #China

 


{Excerpt}

(...)

Avian influenza A(H9N2):

    ° Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region:

        § A two-year-old boy with onset on August 23, 2026.

(...)

Source: 


Link: https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/2026_avian_influenza_report_vol22_wk37.pdf

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#Philippines - #Influenza A #H5 viruses of high pathogenicity (Inf. with) (non-poultry including wild birds) (2017-) - Immediate notification [FINAL]

 


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{Yellow-vented Bulbul. By DexDroid29 - Nikon P500Previously published: First publicated in wikipedia, CC0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=112929120}

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{Lowland white-eye. By Gideon Ferrer - Facebook and donated by Owners, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=152574672}

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A wild Yellow-vented bulbul and a wild Lowland white-eye birds in the Pangasinan Region.

Source: 


Link: https://wahis.woah.org/#/in-review/7837

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#Australia, #H5 avian #influenza events in #wildlife (DAFF, as of September 14 '26)

 


{Excerpt, Summary}

(...)

Event data

    ° 542 *Positive events

    ° 44,354 Hotline reports


    As of 4pm AEST, 14 September 2026, Australia has 542 confirmed events of H5 bird flu in wildlife.

    ° 10 in Western Australia (WA)

    ° 295 in South Australia (SA)

    ° 32 in New South Wales (NSW)

    ° 2 in Queensland (QLD)

    ° 165 in Victoria (VIC)

    ° 37 in Tasmania (TAS)

    ° 1 in Other Territories*

    ° * Jervis Bay Territory (Commonwealth jurisdiction)


    As H5 bird flu is confirmed in more locations and species in Australia it will not be necessary to continue testing all species in known areas of transmission, or to test every animal involved in an investigation. 

    Reporting will be targeted to provide a clear picture of the national H5 bird flu situation in wildlife in Australia and key developments.


Data disclaimer

    Data reflects information provided by state and territory governments to the Australian Government as at 17:00 AEST daily. The Australian Government publishes this information for national reporting purposes. Responsibility for the accuracy, completeness and currency of the data remains with the relevant state or territory government. Due to differences in reporting timing, information on the national dashboard may differ from information published on state or territory government websites.

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{Click on Image to Enlarge}

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(...)

Source: 


Link: https://www.agriculture.gov.au/campaigns/birdflu/latest-data#h1_bird_flu

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Monday, September 14, 2026

Co-occurrence #networks from #wetland #bird #surveys predict #H5N1 genetic similarity between wild birds with strong effects of time, space and viral clustering

 


Abstract

The emergence of zoonotic and epizootic diseases has had devastating consequences for human and animal health, including wildlife conservation. Yet, surveillance of multi-host disease systems is particularly challenging due to complex transmission pathways across many species. Social network analysis has been applied to simple transmission systems, but empirical applications to wild, multi-species systems are scarce. Here, we combined high pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) viral genomes, a zoonotic virus of pandemic potential, with a large citizen-science database of wild bird co-occurrence to test how multi-species social network structure predicts transmission dynamics. We linked viral genetic distance, 20,103 pairwise comparisons between 214 unique genomes from 172 dyads of 20 host species, to co-occurrence network metrics for those species. Both relative species association and raw co-occurrence frequency predicted lower maximum viral genetic divergence, more similar viruses between more associated species, beyond what would be expected through random mixing and independently of sequencing effort. Time and space between samples were also strong predictors of genetic similarity. Our results suggest that network models can be used to detect pathogen transmission through communities of wild birds, offering real prospects for wildlife disease surveillance and prediction.


Competing Interest Statement

The authors have declared no competing interest.

Source: 


Link: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.06.17.659947v5

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Sunday, September 13, 2026

#Australia, #H5 avian #influenza events in #wildlife (DAFF, as of September 13 '26)

 


{Excerpt, Summary}

(...)

    As of 4pm AEST, 11 September 2026, Australia has 521 confirmed events of H5 bird flu in wildlife.

    ° 10 in Western Australia (WA)

    ° 286 in South Australia (SA)

    ° 25 in New South Wales (NSW)

    ° 2 in Queensland (QLD)

    ° 162 in Victoria (VIC)

    ° 36 in Tasmania (TAS)


    As H5 bird flu is confirmed in more locations and species in Australia it will not be necessary to continue testing all species in known areas of transmission, or to test every animal involved in an investigation. 

    Reporting will be targeted to provide a clear picture of the national H5 bird flu situation in wildlife in Australia and key developments.


Data disclaimer

    Data reflects information provided by state and territory governments to the Australian Government as at 17:00 AEST daily. The Australian Government publishes this information for national reporting purposes. Responsibility for the accuracy, completeness and currency of the data remains with the relevant state or territory government. Due to differences in reporting timing, information on the national dashboard may differ from information published on state or territory government websites.

(...)


Positive events by species

{As of September 13 2026}


{Click on Image to Enlarge}

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(...)

Source: 


Link: https://www.agriculture.gov.au/campaigns/birdflu/latest-data#h1_bird_flu

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Saturday, September 12, 2026

Respiratory #pandemic #risk in the #Anthropocene: A #OneHealth #framework and #GISRS+ agenda

 


Highlights

    • Respiratory pandemics are now a structural feature of the Anthropocene.

    • H5Nx and SARS-related CoVs are identified as leading pandemic candidates.

    • A geographic mismatch exists between spillover risk and surveillance.

    • A multidimensional GISRS+ agenda is proposed for proactive One Health.


Abstract

Recent epidemics and pandemics caused by respiratory viruses, alongside the animal panzootic spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5Nx), have become a structural feature of the Anthropocene, yet responses remain largely reactive. This review integrates findings from WHO's Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS) and related surveillance data (2000–2024), epidemiological studies of influenza A virus, SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV, SARS-CoV-2, and H5Nx, and One Health literature. We examine major groups of respiratory viruses and identify mismatches between risk and surveillance by focusing on spillover potential from animal hosts, human-to-human transmission and its controllability, and Anthropocene characteristics that increase epidemic risk. The analysis indicated that SARS-related coronaviruses and influenza A viruses, particularly H5Nx, are among the leading candidates based on currently available evidence because they have large reservoirs in animal hosts and spillover to humans is highly probable. The previous presymptomatic spread of SARS-CoV-2 and recent mammalian adaptation in H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b highlight limitations of the traditional symptom-based and pathogen-specific surveillance system. Spillover events tend to occur in tropical and subtropical regions in low- and middle-income countries, but most genomic surveillance is in high-income countries. We propose interventions that address the upstream, midstream, downstream processes of epidemics. Upstream interventions are primary prevention measures related to land use, livestock, wildlife, and urban environments; midstream interventions are GISRS+-based pathogen-agnostic genomic and metagenomic early warning systems triggered by One Health; and downstream interventions include vaccines, antivirals, non-pharmaceutical interventions, and engineering with equity-centred global governance and sustainable financing.

Source: 


Link: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101553

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