Abstract Mosquito-borne diseases are deeply embedded within ecological communities, with environmental changes—particularly climate change—shaping their dynamics . Increasingly intense droughts across the globe have profound implications for the transmission of these diseases , as drought conditions can alter mosquito breeding habitats , host-seeking behaviours and mosquito–host contact rates . To quantify the effect of drought on disease transmission, we use West Nile virus as a model system and leverage a robust mosquito and virus dataset consisting of over 500 000 trap nights collected from 2010 to 2023, spanning a historic drought period followed by atmospheric rivers. We pair this surveillance dataset with a novel modelling approach that incorporates monthly changes in bird host community competence , along with drought conditions , to estimate the effect of drought severity on West Nile virus risk using panel regression models. Our results show that while drought decreases ...
Media Monitoring for Signals about Emerging Threats