Spatio-temporal #dynamics and #risk cluster #analysis of highly pathogenic avian #influenza (#H5N1) in #poultry: Advancing #outbreak #management through customized regional strategies in #Egypt
ABSTRACT Background : Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) (H5N1) has been endemic in Egypt for almost two decades , profoundly impacting both the poultry industry and public health. Egypt stands as a prominent epicenter for HPAI H5N1 outbreaks in Africa , marked by the highest number of positive human cases. Despite continuous governmental efforts, prior research underscored the inadequacy of strategies in controlling the virus spread. Aim : This study identified spatiotemporal patterns and high-risk clusters of HPAI H5N1 outbreaks at the subdistrict level. Methods : This study involved trial tracking of HPAI H5N1 endemicity dynamics , enabling tailored interventions at a regional level based on robust epidemiological investigations to address the persistent challenge of HPAI H5N1 in Egypt. This study illuminated spatiotemporal outbreak dynamics, with specific attention on Menofia governorate. Results : Despite the region’s early pou...